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A motion to recall Legislator Chen Po-wei (陳柏惟) of the pro-independence Taiwan Statebuilding Party has been approved, and a vote has been tentatively scheduled for Aug. 28, the Central Election Commission said Friday.
https://focustaiwan.tw/politics/202107020025
省思這位風城男子所言：
【我對台灣未來的簡單預測】
By：風城男子臉書
台灣現在沒有人在乎做正確的事情，思考對國家有益的決策，大家都在比爛。全島迷漫著擺爛的施政，賭爛的制掣，噁爛的分贓，唬爛的自嗨，胡爛的盲從。正是，怎一個「爛」字了得！
在台灣，認真做事被當成草包，全國霸凌他；渣男雜碎被當成偶包，痴女環繞他；下流網紅被捧成英雄，愚青崇拜他；造假粉專被奉作聖地，蠢蛋朝聖他。整個台灣彷佛是被下了符的迷幻之島，一步步走向自我毀滅。
在政治的光譜上，我從來不在乎藍綠，我只關心台灣是否進步，是否走在一個對的方向，是否人民能夠過好日子。這是一個正常人該有的心態。我希望台灣能夠多一點正常人，少一點沒有人性的智障白癡。
我看不起國民黨，但是我更厭惡民進黨。我常想，民進黨那麼爛，為什麼每次都可以選的那麼輕鬆。可是你看看國民黨那副德行，也就沒什麼好難懂的。一個只會扯自己人後腿的窩囊政黨，就算龍發堂出來選也能選贏它。
所以政治就跟人生一樣，你如果想在地上爬行，沒有人能夠幫助你站起來。國民黨在台灣，算是玩完了，民進黨現在只會更專制，更加快速度掏空台灣。所以台灣的未來會如何？我的簡單預測是：
1. 政府一定會加稅 (greed is never enough)
2. 台灣一定會通貨膨脹 (there’s only so much you can borrow)
3. 社會的貧富差距會加速擴大 (the rich finds the way the poor hits the wall)
4. 台灣的經濟跟國際處境會更加孤立 (the real isolation and independence)
5. 經濟會持續下滑社會持續分裂 (economy hits bottom hatred hits high)
6. 有能力的年輕人會加快出走的腳步 (vote with their feet)
7. 台灣會成為美國的傀儡政權Puppet State (if you bow long enough you will kneel)
8. 屆時中美終須攤牌 (nationalism meets hegemonism)
9. 戰後台灣滿目瘡痍兩岸統一 (pointless pride and stupidity)
這時程到底會走多久？我估計不會太慢。但是愚蠢的民進黨跟它的支持者正在加快這個速度，是典型的飛蛾撲火。
我祈求我的父母兄姐長輩這一代，以及我的摯愛好友，能夠安養以終，不需要見證到這個時代的悲劇。我也希望我的預測是錯的，民進黨會忽然轉性，台灣人民會突然醒悟。But I don't bet on it！
The biggest danger that can befall us | Lee Yee
The debate around the pan-democrats’ leaving or staying is heated. What I am concerned about is the thinking during this debate. Perhaps the process is more important than the result.
I quoted from Mao in last week’s article: “We must support whatever the enemy opposes, and we must oppose whatever the enemy supports.” This is a common way of thinking, whether among the Chinese and Hong Kong Communists, Hong Kong pro-democracy camps, young protesters, and even certain political commentators. They often use this line of thinking to judge and justify their words and actions.
My article sparked discussion on LIHKG, with the focus on whether we should act in the opposite direction as the “enemy”. Some think that I was mainly targeting and reprimanding the LIHKG community, because many of them oppose certain words and actions based very simply on whether “the CCP is the happiest”. Others pointed out that YouTube KOLs mention “the CCP is the happiest” like a broken record.
Days ago, Chinese Foreign Ministry spokesperson Zhao Lijian said, “Some U.S. politicians suppress China because they are afraid of China’s development. The harder they suppress, the more it proves China’s success, and the more it shows that China did it right.”
Luo Huining, director of the Liaison Office of the Central People’s Government, said in response to the sanctions imposed by the United States, “This shows exactly how I did all the right things for my country, for Hong Kong.”
Alvin Yeung said in an interview a few days ago, “The Civic Party was the DQ (disqualification) champion, four out of six of our candidates were disqualified, and three out of our four incumbent lawmakers were disqualified. This proves that the regime does not like what we have done.”
A commentator said, “The CCP and Hong Kong Communists wish to see that we split, therefore we must do the opposite, avoid splitting.”
Why is it that whatever the enemy opposes must be right, and whenever the enemy is happy it must be wrong? What is the logic behind right and wrong? The pro-Communists have discussed both options for the pan-democrats, does it mean neither should be done?
To do the opposite, the opposite must be justified. Only a lazy person with dependent thinking will oppose for the sake of opposing.
Whatever we do should be backed by our own principles and considerations, and not to base it on whether it makes the enemy happy or not to choose and judge words and actions. If being DQ’d means it was right, then does not being DQ’d mean it was wrong? Should there be a split between political parties, it should be one on the issues of principle. “Harmony” that reconciles but disregards principles is not desirable.
The CCP’s usual propaganda: China’s 1.4 billion people, including Hong Kong’s compatriots, support the “return”; 1.4 billion people, including Taiwan compatriots, oppose Taiwan’s independence. The thing is, the future of Hong Kong or Taiwan hugely impact Hongkongers and Taiwanese, but have very little to do with the interest of the 1.4 billion people. The Québec independence referendum only asked the Québec people to vote, and not all Canadians; the Scotland independence referendum only sought votes in Scotland. By the same logic, whether the pan-democrats accept the appointment to extend their tenures or not, only the opinions of the pro-democracy voters should be considered. Including the pro-Beijing voters is the equivalent of including 1.4 billion people into deciding for the future of Hong Kong and Taiwan.
Before the implementation of the national security law, Hong Kong Public Opinion Research Institute (PORI) conducted a public opinion survey on June 15-18 regarding the law. The results showed that the majority of Hongkongers opposed the law. However, a survey conducted by Hong Kong Research Association on July 2-5 showed that 66% of Hongkongers supported the implementation of the law, because the question asked was not whether to support the national security law, but whether it should be included in Annex III of the Basic Law. Clearly, the latter survey had a stance around which the question was designed. This sort of guiding survey is skewed.
Regarding the survey about the extension of the Legislative Council, it should first be asked whether the decision to extend for no less than a year is accepted, then within the forced extension of the Legislative Council, the options of staying or leaving en masse. In addition, the option of a small number to accept the appointment while the majority does not. If there is first the stance, then it is no different from a pro-Communist survey.
In 1946, American diplomat George Kennan sent a long telegram from Moscow, which launched the cold war between the United States and the Soviet Union. The renowned diplomat offered a word of caution to the American policymakers: “After all, the greatest danger that can befall us in coping with this problem of Soviet communism, is that we shall allow ourselves to become like those with whom we are copying.”
The various aforementioned thinking has just entered the realm where “biggest danger that can befall us”, as warned by Kennan.
今天的看時事學英文，帶大家關注全球關注的大事，就是蘇格蘭舉行獨立公投。
vocab:
referendum 公投
The government has promised to hold a referendum.
vote 投票；得票數
60 percent of the voters voted in favor of independence.
stake 股份，賭注，利害關係
The stakes are high, so you should take it more seriously.
clock ticking 倒數計時
Apple says clock is ticking on launching of smartwatch.
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