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本日新聞快訊🔈
螢幕使用時間的增加是他的業務增長關鍵，DTC眼鏡品牌 Warby Parker上週正式向SEC美國證券交易委員會遞交申請，希望以WRBY作為股票代碼在紐約證交所Direct Listing直接上市。
另一間DTC Direct To Consumer品牌，健身飛輪公司Peloton在上週五收盤股價下跌8.5%來到104塊美金，那為什麼會有如此大的跌幅呢？跟這間公司在北美時間週四盤後公布的財報相關，我們會在節目內容分享Peloton的財報。
S4EP26上線囉！
#商業新聞播客 #通勤十分鐘 #通勤必聽 #通勤不無聊 #學習 #商業新聞
今天, 應該是最炫最酷的一家公司, Robinhood, 上市的一天. 它獲利了嗎? 我想沒有多少投資人會care. 最關心的, 應該是它的營收成長率, 還有股價.
在我們一直追逐科技成長股, 被他們的高營收成長率, 潛在的高報酬昏眩的時候, 會不會忘記他們醜得要命的財務報表?
而在今年, 大家追逐的這些趨勢股表現不佳的時候, 是不是也給了我們一些省思?
其實美股中, 還有很多財務報表漂亮, 但聽起來一點也不有趣(甚至很無聊)的公司, 但他們股價穩定, 長期下來, 也給了投資人很大的回報. 像之前介紹過的POOL, 過去幾年也是平均一年翻一倍的漲幅.
而在IPO中, 也有這類的好公司.
Carrier Global(CARR), 2020年4月上市的IPO, 算是工業類股, 漲了快5倍. 有在獲利. (開利冷氣應該有聽過?就是這家公司)
Academy Sports and Outdoors (ASO), 民生消費股, 也有獲利, 2020年10月上市的IPO, 目前也漲了3倍.
下面這篇文章挺好. 與大家分享. 就像文章作者所提的, 龜兔賽跑, 穩(漲)的烏龜, 不一定會輸.
也祝福大家找到&培養自己的能力圈, 穩穩獲利.
Jim Cramer: The Biggest Thing That Happened Thursday Was the Boring Stuff
No, it wasn't Robinhood or the mega-cap tech companies, it was names we depend on like Carrier Global.
By JIM CRAMER Jul 29, 2021 | 03:38 PM EDT
Stocks quotes in this article: HOOD, FB, PYPL, CARR, RTX, NUE, AGCO, ZM, ALGN, AAPL, EBAY, AMD, XLNX
One of the most glorious things I have seen involving the stock market in ages happened today.
Was it Vlad Tenev ringing the opening bell for his breakthrough, disruptive Robinhood (HOOD) , representing 22 million mostly young new investors? Was it the free-for-all decline in the stock of the "F" in FAANG, Facebook (FB) ? Or the clobbering that Paypal (PYPL) took after what looked to be a good quarter?
Nah. I was bumping into Dave Gitlin, CEO of Carrier Global (CARR) , and his charming daughter, a college student at the University of Wisconsin. They were calmly waiting for me to finish "Squawk on the Street" to say, "Hi," and I couldn't be more thrilled. Because unlike the much ballyhooed Robinhood deal, which seems like a bust, Carrier Global came public back in April 2020 at $12 and today, after tremendous earnings, not sales, but earnings, it made an all-time high at $53, after reporting a terrific number with tremendous HVAC sales, up 31%, and an earnings surprise of 55 cents vs. the 30 cents that Wall Street was expecting.
Carrier, which was spun off when United Technologies merged with Raytheon (RTX) had some tailwinds, like the need to have clean air inside, because of the pandemic and clear air outside because office buildings are responsible for 40% of carbon emissions. But the huge upside surprise and the gigantic buyback belonged to Dave and his team and I that's what I told his daughter. I made sure she knew how proud she should be about how this man made so much money for people. Twelve to 53 in 15 months time is the name of the game.
Look, I am not trying to take away from anything that Robinhood and its co-founder and CEO Vlad Tenev have created. Far from it. They have created billions for themselves and are now letting people participate in their great sales growth. You got a chance to pay a fortune per share and many Robinhoodies did, as tons of stock was allocated to the 22 million people who joined Robinhood, because of a bang up app that every young person seems to know.
I am simply saying that HVAC, yep heating, ventilation and air conditioning is one of the most boring businesses on earth and at times like today, with all of the hoopla of Robinhood it is easy to forget is how lots of money can be made being boring, and I like that. The most exciting thing that happened this year is Carrier helped provide refrigeration for vaccines. That's just fine with me.
Unlike Robinhood, Carrier hasn't brought anyone into the stock market. It's more laser-like focus on air conditioning once spun off from Raytheon means nothing to people. Just Wall Street gibberish. But you have probably walked by a Carrier machine thousands of times and never thought anything of it. Yet, you could have bought it for a song at six times earnings instead of 25 times sales.
The Carriers, with CEOs who pay themselves lavishly but perhaps not excessively, or the Nucor's (NUE) the steel company that's also well managed and sells at six times earnings, represent valuable properties, especially when the U.S. government is about to agree on a trillion dollar infrastructure bill and the country has more than 6% GDP. We don't know why they are re-opening trades or closing trades, delta-variant trades or building and bridge investments. Forgive me, though for comparing the company of Robinhood, with something that may stay special for a while vs. companies that get described as venerable, solid and built to last.
These companies are not rarities. You know people have to eat, right? You know that there would be famine without farming. So why not buy the stock of Agco (AGCO) , No. 2 farm equipment, which went from $40 to $130 in a year and a half without ever being expensive. Combines too boring? Again fine with me. Now that the masks are off -- or at least in some places, although Zoom (ZM) is still crushing it -- I, like many others, including my daughter, didn't like how her teeth looked even as, to me, they were perfect. Dentists tell you to get Align (ALGN) . I wanted them on "Mad Money" but the show was just too darned jammed. The stock's up the most in the S&P 500, with a product that, again, like the Purloined Letter, is right in front of you.
I love tech. Created the term FANG, added the "A" when it was clear that Apple (AAPL) had to take the acronymic stage between another "A" and an "N." I am proud that those who bet against me on Twitter, the legion, are betting against FAANG. I wrote obituaries for a goodly time in my career as a reporter but I never wrote as many as have been penned to talk about the group has already made the ultimate measure on behalf of shareholders.
Oh and it's not like I don't like tech or fin tech. I felt the slings and arrows of Facebook and PayPal today. Facebook's management once again lowered the boom on its future talking about real deceleration in growth. I thought it was too dire. PayPal's Dan Schulman talked about how the separation with its former partner, eBay (EBAY) gets done now and earnings will be hurt. This was one of the least revelatory surprises ever. I think both are practicing UPOD, Underpromising to Overdeliver, and, sure this time might be different, but it's sure been the way they have handled it in the past.
Far better to be in the straight out blow outs like Advance Micro (AMD) which had still one more banner day, this time because the company it is buying, the dowdy Xilinx (XLNX) , a sleepy semiconductor company, had tremendous earnings. The two together could be unassailable and even as AMD is now richly valued it is deservingly so.
I can't wait to hear Vlad Tenev's reflection on Robinhood's debut as a public company and about the novel offering that gave millions of shares to his clients. Vlad's not so much a rags to riches American story. He's a poor Bulgarian to insanely rich American because of his on ingenuity. That's a story with celebrating in itself.
I am simply pointing out that unlike Vlad, whom you would have had invested with when you weren't allowed or able to, Dave Gitlin sure didn't keep you out of the better bet, the stock of HVAC king Carrier.
You did.
大詩人研究所畢業後在台積電上班當工程師，對投資很有興趣，趁年輕的時候轉職產業分析師，拓墣產業研究所算是台灣最大民營產業研究機構之一，上班到公司就可以看報紙新聞，跟同事討論股票，產業研究分析很有趣，可是跟股票投資獲利，是兩件關係不大的事情。
講個小故事，證券公司看好某個產業議題，就會跟我們研究機構合作，辦理投資講座，VIP會員免費參加，在五星級飯店順便吃下午茶，然後我們研究員講一個小時、他們證券公司的人講一個小時，有次開頭我才自我介紹完，正要帶入產業介紹，前排就有個阿北舉手，老師，你不要講這麼多，你直接跟我講哪支股票比較快，還好我也講過很多場次了，安撫阿北後繼續開講。（公司收費五萬、研究員獎金五千）
很多人對投資有興趣是對賺錢有興趣，不是對產業、對公司有興趣。所以當年產業分析師的我也是如此，投資成績單小賺小賠，實在沒意思，只好再重回台積電賣肝當工程師賺得多又快。
回鍋台積電運氣好在金融海嘯之前，經濟不景氣，工作也相對的比較輕鬆，因此晚上回家自己繼續看投資理財的書，剛好看到綠角前輩介紹指數投資，開始入手買進0050，印象中從30元左右開始買，買大概十張左右，股價就開始爬升，沒有幾個月就到了36，老毛病就犯了，賺兩成就該獲利了結，等回檔再來回補，結果就是沒等到0050回檔，之後我在50元左右認錯再度買回，並且發誓再也不賣出，就這樣0050到了60我也沒賣出，上萬點後到了70我也沒賣。
於是到了2015年，結合夫妻兩人的資金，一起前進美國券商。剛投入美國券商也是什麼都買一點，VTI、VEU、VSS、債券、VNQ...，後來到2019年股票的部分只用VT，債券只用美國政府公債ETF，所以就再平衡的部分來說，我幾乎是沒有執行的，不論是股票區域市場的再平衡，還是股債的再平衡。
從2015年開始老婆繼續上班，我則是負責小孩接送工作，閒暇之餘規劃家庭資產，現金的部分預留兩年，也有配置0050，0050日後會優先作為資產提領，美國券商的資產，避免跨國匯出匯入的手續費，幾年執行下來都還算過得去。
最後我要提到所謂的降維打擊，降維的意思就是你的能力在第一志願，可是去念第二、第三志願的學校，相對之下就幾乎是全班第一名。就是說有人會煩惱退休後資產不夠提領，其中一個解法就是晚點退休，或者退休後控制好開銷。所以回到指數投資的缺點，本金大、時間久、很無聊。本金要能夠累積，除了要增加薪資收入，再來就是要控制開銷，就好比薪資收入破百萬，可是開銷跟剛畢業新鮮人24K差不多。
其實我有注意到，高收入人士能夠有閒錢投資的，必定在某方面的開銷節省下來，也就是沒有樣樣都要高消費，住豪宅、開跑車、名牌手錶衣服鞋子、私立美語學校、五星級飯店、頭等艙、高爾夫球...，偶爾有點嗜好興趣沒毛病，樣樣都要跟上肯定不容易有閒錢投資。會賺錢肯花錢的人多的是，但是能夠有閒錢投資的人卻不多。
指數投資的核心概念也是，估計資產增加的幅度，控制提領的比例，即便某幾年資產增加的預期高，但是我們也不會同時提高提領金額，偶爾慶祝開心一下是可以的。其實很多成功的主動投資人也是如此（巴菲特），就是他的開銷支出成長，遠遠低於投資報酬的成長。但是很多其他短線投資人，往往預期賺了錢，就要快速提高生活品質，大幅提高開銷，這部分經驗給大家參考。
#大樹 #聯華食 #催化劑 #財報
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✔影片重點看這裡
02:03 消息能讓股價噴射，價值投資者的催化劑就看這兩個
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04:38 了解公司營運最重要，即將到來的催化劑是在...
05:38 重點整理，善用催化劑掌握投資節奏吧！
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... 週五晚間21點(首播) 晚間12點半(重播)#更多0524錢線精彩影片# 無聊公司 #馬斯克※更多必看經典影片○0524完整版(上)《船票. ... 股價 淨值比有答案! ... <看更多>
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無聊公司股價 在 [新聞] 自馬斯克開金口收購推特特斯拉股價迄今- 看板Stock 的推薦與評價
原文標題：自馬斯克開金口收購推特 特斯拉股價迄今跌逾35%
原文連結：https://news.cnyes.com/news/id/4999205
發布時間：2022/11/05 13:00
記者署名：許家華
原文內容：
自特斯拉 (TSLA-US) 執行長馬斯克 (Elon Musk) 宣布要收購社交媒體平台推特以來，特
斯拉股價已跌逾 35%，遠超過那斯達克綜合指數同期約下跌 18%。
馬斯克於 2022 年 4 月 25 日首次宣布同意收購推特，當天特斯拉股價收在每股
332.67 美元，周五 (4 日) 則收在 207.47 美元。
馬斯克周五在 29 屆巴隆投資大會發表談話，向來力挺馬斯克各業務的對沖基金投資人
Ron Baron (目前是特斯拉、SpaceX 和推特股東) 也不禁詢問馬斯克要如何兼顧新公司。
除了電動車霸主特斯拉，馬斯克旗下帝國包括：研究可重複使用的火箭製造商和衛星網路
公司 SpaceX、研究人腦與電腦連結的大腦晶片公司 Neuralink，以及開挖地下隧道的無
聊公司 (The Boring Company) ，現在又加上 440 億美元收購而來的社交媒體平台推特
。
馬斯克坦言自己的工時自每周 78 小時大增至 120 小時，但「一旦推特邁向正軌，我認
為管理起來比特斯拉或 SpaceX 容易多了。」
他並未透露誰將接任他管理推特執行長，但他在推特上發文表示，目前他只是暫時擔任推
特唯一董事和執行長。
然而，馬斯克收購推特後，包括通用 (GM-US)、奧迪等一些汽車產業勁敵便撤走廣告資金
，但目前尚不清楚此舉是否會長期影響特斯拉。
為了管理推特，馬斯克已調派 50 多名特斯拉員工，主要來自 Autopilot 和其他軟體工
程師，以及其他幾位值得信賴的顧問和來自其他業務的支持者。
馬斯克長期靠推特宣傳旗下所有公司、產品、自身形象，甚至在推特上鼓動粉絲一起攻擊
被他視為敵人者，例如民選官員、證券交易委員會等監管機構、記者，以及對特斯拉砲火
猛烈的汽車安全倡導者。
在投資者大會上，馬斯克還重申，特斯拉仍打算開發比入門款 Model 3 更便宜的電動車
，並重申每日產能 4 萬輛的目標。
馬斯克還表示，鑑於這種生產水準對電池的高需求量，以及製程中所有金屬和其他材料的
需求量，特斯拉似乎越來越有可能需要直接參與採礦，而不是完全依賴外部供應商。
Baron 詢問特斯拉是否考慮投資 Glencore，但馬斯克否認，並在談到開採鋰礦時強調「
我說的是特斯拉自己做。」
心得/評論：
TSLA 分割太多次了
數字的感覺都有點亂掉了
原來已經跌了這些
不過最近美股大權值: MSFT、GOOGL、AMZN、META 頻頻破底
TSLA 應該不久就會加入了
--
※ 發信站: 批踢踢實業坊(ptt.cc), 來自: 1.169.33.190 (臺灣)
※ 文章網址: https://www.ptt.cc/bbs/Stock/M.1667637060.A.495.html
... <看更多>