台灣最大公約數 – 反共去統不反中
The True Common Denominator of Taiwan
我察覺到一個新的台灣共識(最大公約數)正在成形,而且已經接近完成。雖然許多人還沒意識到這點,也還有一些人尚處在無感、或雖然有感但心理上拒絕的階段。
I sensed a New Taiwan Consensus is forming and near completion, although many are still not fully aware of it, some at the psychological stage of ignoring it and some even in total denial .
這新共識可以用三個原素的一句話來總結:反共、去統、不反中國平民。三元素環環相扣,構成了一個具有主旋律的直白命題:那些已經把台灣視為自己家鄉的人,已經把台灣當成一個與他方無涉的主體。
This New Consensus can be summarized in one expression with three parallel elements: opposing communism, de-unification and neutralness toward Chinese civilians. These three elements constitute an organic whole with a common theme that simply says, people who took Taiwan as their home deemed themselves as one distinct entity .
為了讓人們充分理解這三元素的意義,需要做一些進一步闡釋。我們這就開始。
I understand some elaboration may be needed to allow the three elements to be fully appreciated, especially the third one. Let me begin.
1. 反共。台灣其實並沒有那麼反對自由的社會主義;事實上,台灣社會本身在日常生活型態中就含有明顯的自由社會主義的痕跡。但是,台灣絕不會容忍社會主義精神脫序到共產主義的地步。若然,那種社會主義就是敵人,沒有討論的餘地。台灣海峽彼岸的中國共產黨(CCP),就屬於這一類。
1. Opposing Communism – Taiwan is not that much against liberal socialism. In fact,there is a rather obvious strain of it already existing in its social life. However, Taiwan would not tolerate socialism when carried away to the extent of communism, and would take it as enemy. Period. Chinese Communist Party (CCP) on the other end of the Strait falls into this category.
2. 去統。在台灣,不但老一輩了解中共天天掛在嘴邊玩弄的「統一」,只不過是其用來維持政權、控制已經被洗過腦平民的一種虛偽口號,而年輕一輩只會以荒謬視之。因而,此處並沒有用過去的「反統」一詞,而是用「去統」,表示了一種將「統一」概念徹底由腦中去除的意思。就像「大掃除」的意思一樣,老早就該扔掉的東西就把它扔掉。
2. De-Unification – Not only do the older generations realize that the jingling of
“unification” of the CCP is just a bogus slogan for upholding its regime’s control
over the brain-washed civilians, the young generation of Taiwan simply finds the
slogan ridiculous. Therefore, rather than using the term “anti-Unification” as people used to do in the past, I think “De-Unification” – the unshackling of the very idea of unification, as one can relate with the word “de-clutter”- is a better suited term.
3. 不反中,指的是對中國平民保持中性的態度。過去三年間,包括我自己以及國際輿論,已經破除了那個存在已久的迷思 – 中共CCP就等同中國。情況根本不是這樣的。中共不等同中國,更不用說等同中國人民了。中共是一個具有9千8百萬黨員的巨大政黨,但那只是住在那塊土地上的14億人當中的7%。
3. Neutralness towards Chinese Civilians – In the past three years, people in Taiwan including myself, as well as the international community, have debunked the long-existed myth that CCP Is China. No, far from it. CCP is NOT equivalent to China, let alone the Chinese people. CCP is a huge party of 98 million members and that accounts for only 7% of the 1.4 billion Chinese people living on that landmass.
簡單的算數就可以呈現真相。對任何國家,如果僅佔7%的人口可以在政治上完全控制100%的人口,唯一的可能就是實施殘酷暴力或通過暴力改變人的頭腦。
Simple math would tell the truth. In any nation, when 7% of the population politically controls 100% of the population, it would be an impossibility unless by brutal violence or total brain coercion.
中國平民本身就是受害者。其他的國家,不應該膝蓋反應式的把受害者視為天生就是邪惡的。因此,無論在心態上還是現實地緣政治考慮下,台灣社會都應該把「必反」這詞留給共產黨而不是受害的平民。
Therefore, considering the Chinese civilians are victims themselves, people from other parts of the world should not act in a knee-jerk way towards the ordinary, victimized Chinese Civilians as if they are born evil. Either under a proper mindset or the practicality associated with geopolitics, Taiwanese society should and is starting to understand this point. “Anti-“ is an attitude reserved for CCP and not intrinsically for the ordinary and mostly victimized civilians.
這才是台灣的最大公約數。然而,為了選票的政治人物及民調機構拖累了台灣。每年每月的民調都在問早已失效的問題:你偏藍還是偏綠?你贊成獨立還是統一?
Putting together the above three Elements, thus there is the New Taiwan Consensus. What’s falling behind and dragging Taiwan’s feet, are the ballot-hungry politicians and the various outdated polling agencies. They do so many so-called popular surveys every year, sometimes monthly. And they stick to the long invalid way of setting up their survey questions: Are you favoring Green (DPP) or Blue(KMT)? Are you pro-independent or Pro-unification?
這種自我設限或自我審查的問法,使得其他國家以為台灣是個分裂社會。
This kind of self-confined or self-censored surveys leave other nations the impression that Taiwan is a split society, Green or Blue, Independence or unification etc.
台灣這種導致外人認為台灣是個分裂國家的作法,實在愚蠢。如果問的問題對,台灣是沒有分裂的。例如,如果將「你贊不贊成獨立」改為「你反共不反共」,結果肯定是98%以上。
It’s such a foolish thing to do for Taiwan itself misleading outsiders into deeming Taiwan as a split country. There is absolutely no split should the right questions be asked in the surveys. For example, had the question been changed from “Are you pro-independence or anti-independence” into “Are you pro-communism or anti-communism”,then the result would have been a clear-cut 98% or even 99.5% towards “anti”.
若問「你是反中國共產黨還是反中國老百姓」,前者不會低於80%,後者不會高於20%。
Now, try this further question: “Are you anti-Chinese Communist Party, or anti-Chinese common people”, my guess is the former gets at least 80% and the latter gets 20% at most.
第三個問題:「你願不願意被共產黨統治」,保證結果是99.9%的「不願意」。
The third question: “Would you be willing to live under the Communist Rule”? That would guarantee a resounding NO answer of 99.9%.
這就是新台灣共識、社會的最大公約數,應該向世界大聲、清楚、不含糊的說出來。
This is exactly how the New Taiwan Consensus looks like – the true common denominator among a seemingly divided Taiwan. And the New Taiwan Consensus should be articulated to the rest of the world, no vagueness, no grey area and unambiguously.
不信的話,可以用上述問題做幾次民調。而且我保證,在不久的將來,所有民主國家都會端出類似「台灣共識」的政策原則。
For any surveyor or politician who still has doubts about this New Taiwan Consensus, he or she can just conduct new surveys with questions suggested as above. And, I myself am convinced, in a not-so-distant future, all democratic countries on the planet would issue national policies based on guidelines similar to the New Taiwan Consensus, for the goodness of their respective countries.
所以,台灣為什麼不這樣做呢?這可是台灣展示世界政治領導力的機會啊!
So, Hey, Taiwan! Why not put a thrust on this Taiwan Consensus to the world by publicizing it unambiguously and show some political leadership, just for once?
後記:以雙語向全球發聲,將是我接下致力的方向。所使用的這兩種文字,涵蓋了35億人口,接近地球的一半人數。這個行動,將以 「前哨預策」網站 為核心基地,其他的社交媒體,只要有傳播力道,都會被用為衛星來做整體運作。
個人的思考、判斷不一定對,您也不見得同意,但是,我保證這平台中的每一句話都是獨立的、出自內心的。而今天的台灣,乃至於世界,最缺的就是突破傳統成見、不受黨派左右、同時又知錯能改的獨立思考力量。不知您是否同意?
「前哨預策」平台將分為三步走:內容平台 – 互動平台 – 行動平台。剛誕生的它,當前還只是個內容平台,但達到一定數量的會員支持後,將加入各種新媒體形式,與會員就重要議題互動,並以「達成不同意見之間的最大公約數」為目標。一旦在會員內部形成「最大公約數」後,就構成了行動的基礎。至於行動的形式,也由願意推動或參與的會員決定。
此平台婉拒任何政黨、政府的贊助,只接受個人會員或企業會員的贊助;所有收入及贊助,均將用於「讓台灣更好」的事務上,以及推動、發揮台灣作為東亞及世界的「關鍵少數」的槓桿角色,為人類下一波文明做出量力而為的貢獻。
我只能說,十年來的不斷保持獨立,希望能換得您對「不受任何政黨、政府左右」這一點點價值的認同。
范疇
謹上
於台灣
首頁鏈接: InsightFan.com
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同時也有1部Youtube影片,追蹤數超過3萬的網紅艾咪拍拍 AmyPaiPai,也在其Youtube影片中提到,BL【2019跨年特輯_告白篇】 交往那麼久,男友竟說不娶!難道當不成戀人...只能做家人了嗎? 今年跨年,讓我們跨越一切障礙,在一起!👬 This new year, confess your love to the one you love! no matter what other peop...
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LoL Worlds 2020 เตรียมจัดอย่างยิ่งใหญ่ เทียบชั้นการแข่งขันกีฬาระดับโลก พร้อมสปอนเซอร์ชื่อดังจากทั่วโลกให้การสนับสนุน และไม่พลาดที่จะมีการแสดงสุดตระการตาสำหรับแฟน ๆ ที่เฝ้ารออยู่เช่นเคย ทั้งพิธีเปิดการแข่ง และศึกตัดสินรอบ Final
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เมื่อไม่กี่วันที่ผ่านมา แฟน ๆ LoL คงจะได้เห็นผลงานล่าสุดของทาง Riot (Music) กันแล้วอย่าง "Take Over" โดยนอกจากเป็นชื่อเพลงแล้ว มันยังเป็นสโลแกนสำหรับงาน Worlds 2020 นี้ด้วย
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ซึ่งตรงก็ถือว่าตรงกับความเป็นจริงอยู่ไม่น้อย เพราะงานในปีนี้จะไม่มีทั้ง T1 แชมป์โลก 3 สมัยผู้ยิ่งใหญ่ หรือแม้แต่ Funplus Phoenix (LPL) แชมป์ปีล่าสุดที่พลาดท่าไม่ได้เข้ารอบมาในปีนี้เช่นกัน รวมถึงทีมใหญ่ ๆ อย่าง Cloud9 (LCS), AHQ (PCS), และ Inivtus gaming (LPL) ต่างก็ไม่มีชื่อในรายการด้วย ทำให้มีนี้มีโอกาสสูงมากที่ผู้ชนะจะเป็นทีมใหม่ที่ไม่เคยเป็นแชมป์มาก่อนนั่นเอง
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ในส่วนการจัดงาน ในปีนี้จะเป็นปีแรกของ Worlds ที่จะมีการปรากฏชื่อและแบรนด์ของผู้สนับสนุนในเกม ในรูปแบบของธงและป้ายประดับทั่ว Summoner Rift เหมือนกับการแข่งขันกีฬาระดับโลกต่าง ๆ ที่มีอยู่ ไล่ตั้งแต่ผู้สนับสนุนหลักอย่าง Mercedes Benz ที่ยกระดับจากการสนับสนุนลีกภูมิภาคมาเป็นการแข่ง Worlds อย่างเต็มตัว ตามมาด้วยแบรนด์ชื่อดังอีกหลายเจ้า ทั้ง Secret lab, Spotify, Alienware, Master Card, Oppo และ Redbull เป็นต้น
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ในส่วนของการแสดงนั้นก็เรียกได้ว่าห่ายห่วง เพราะได้มีการเตรียมตัวกันมาอย่างดีโดนเฉพาะพิธีเปิดและปิดการแข่งขัน (รอบ Final) ในส่วนหลักก็จะเป็นเพลงของ K/DA ที่จะได้ "Seraphine" นักร้องหน้าใหม่ปริศนามาร่วมวงด้วยในคราวนี้ และเพื่อความยิ่งใหญ่สมการรอคอย ปีนี้ก็จะมีการแสดงในรูปแบบ AR และ VR ในความละเอียดระดับ 3K 60FPS และเร็นเดอร์แบบ Realtime เพื่อไม่ให้น้อยหน้าพิธีเปิดในปี 2017 และการแสดงของ K/DA ในปี 2018 ที่ได้สร้างความประทับใจแก่คนดูทั่วโลกจนถึงทุกวันนี้
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ท้ายที่สุด ในส่วนของการจัดงาน แม้จะข่าวเรื่องการจำกัดจำนวนผู้ชมในงานเพื่อความปลอดภัยจาก COVID-19 แต่ก็มีมาตรการสำหรับรองรับในเรื่องนี้เอาไว้แล้ว โดยในรายงานแรก ๆ ของ Worlds 2020 ระบุว่า ในปีผู้ชมทั้งในสนามและที่ชมผ่านหน้าจอจะได้รับประสบการณ์ที่แปลกใหม่และน่าตื่นเต้นอย่างแน่นอน งานมีกำหนดจัดที่เซี่ยงไฮ้เพียงเมืองเดียว เพื่อจัดในลักษณะของ Bubble ที่ผู้เกี่ยวข้องทั้งหมดจะเดินทางไปมาในพื้นที่ที่กำหนดไว้ท่านั้นเพื่อความปลอดภัย ซึ่งจะต่างกับการแข่งในปีอื่น ๆ ที่สถานที่จัดจะวนไปเรื่อย ๆ ในประเทศเจ้าภาพของปีนั้น
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พิธีเปิดการแข่งจะมีขึ้นในวันที่ 25 ก.ย. ที่จะถึงนี้ และรอบสุดท้ายจะเกิดขึ้นใน 31 ต.ค. ที่สนาม Pudong Football Stadium ความจุ 33,000 ที่นั่ง แฟน ๆ LoL อย่าพลาดชม สำหรับใครที่อยากทำควมรู้จักกับงาน Worlds มากขึ้น สามารถรับชมได้ที่คลิปด้านล่างนี้
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Worlds คืออะไร? : https://youtu.be/Oeo9EB64xq8
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ที่มา : https://esportsobserver.com/mercedes-benz-worlds-partner/ https://dotesports.com/…/riot-has-plans-for-a-limited-audie… https://dotesports.com/…/k-da-will-debut-a-new-song-with-se…
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#gamingdose #ข่าวเกม #LoL #Worlds2020
LoL Worlds 2020 is a big deal to compete with world-class sports competition with popular sponsors from around the world. Support and don't miss out on the epic show for fans who are waiting for as always. The opening ceremony of Final and the final decision.
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A few days ago, LoL fans could have seen the latest work of Riot (Music) by ′′ Take Over ′′ in addition to the title of the song, it's also a slogan for this Worlds 2020 event.
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It's accurate. It's not quite accurate because of this year's work. There will be no T1 The great 3 world champion or even Funplus Phoenix (LPL). The last year champion that missed the finalists this year, including the big team like Cloud9 (LCS). , AHQ (PCS), and Inivtus gaming (LPL) are all not named on the list. There is a very high chance that the winner will be a new team that has never been championed before.
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This year's event will be the first year of Worlds to appear in the game's name and brand of supporters in the form of flags and labels across Summoner Rift, like various world-class sports competitions, from the main sponsor, Mercedes Benz, who uplifted Mercedes Benz With regional league support, it's a full worlds race followed by many more famous brands. Secret lab, Spotify, Alienware, Master Card, Oppo and Redbull etc.
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In the part of the show, it's called a loop because it's well prepared. Only the opening and closing ceremony (Final round). In the main part, it's K / DA's song to ′′ Seraphine ′′ the new singer, puzzle. Join in this time and for greatness. This year's equation will be shown in AR and VR in the 3 K 60 FPS resolution and Realtime Render for no less in front of the opening ceremony in 2017 And the 2018 K / DA performance that has made an impression on viewers around the world to this day.
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Eventually, in part of the event, despite the news of limited audience in the COVID-19 SECURITY WORKS, there are measures to be supported in this regard. In the first report of Worlds 2020, the first report of the year. Audience both in the field and through the screen will have an absolutely exotic and exciting experience. Work is scheduled in Shanghai, only one city to take care of Bubble's manner where all the interruptions are traveling to the designated area for safety. This will be different from other year's races. The venue will be repeatedly in the host country of that year.
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The opening ceremony of the race will be on 25th. Y. This coming and the final will take place in 31 Oct. .. At Pudong Football Stadium, capacity 33,000 seats LoL fans. Don't miss it. For those who want to get to know more about Worlds, you can watch at the clip below.
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What is the worlds? : https://youtu.be/Oeo9EB64xq8
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Source: https://esportsobserver.com/mercedes-benz-worlds-partner/ https://dotesports.com/league-of-legends/news/riot-has-plans-for-a-limited-audience-for-worlds-2020-finals-but-has-to-be-safe
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#gamingdose #ข่าวเกม #LoL #Worlds2020Translated
new year slogan 在 ลงทุนแมน Facebook 的最佳貼文
กรณีศึกษา คูเวต ประเทศที่ รวยน้ำมัน แต่เงินกำลังจะหมด /โดย ลงทุนแมน
คูเวต ประเทศหนึ่งในภูมิภาคตะวันออกกลาง
ที่ร่ำรวยจากการครอบครองทรัพยากรน้ำมันมาเป็นเวลานาน
แต่รู้ไหมว่า ในวันนี้ คูเวตกำลังเจอปัญหาใหญ่...
Continue ReadingKuwait case study. Oil rich country but money is running out / by investman
Kuwait, one country in the Middle East region.
Rich from occupying oil resources for a long time.
But you know, Kuwait is in big trouble today.
Well, the country's reserve funds are running out.
What happened to Kuwait? Invest man will tell you about it.
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Kuwait is an Asian country in the Middle East region.
Which is an abundance of oil resources.
In 2019, Kuwait had a GDP value of 4.3 trillion baht and a population of 4.4 million people.
Make GDP per capita of Kuwait population equal to 977,000 baht.
4 times more than GDP per head of Thai people.
Kuwait has an area of 17,818 square kilometers, which is about 30 times smaller than Thailand.
Despite being the world's 152th small country.
But Kuwait is the world's 6th most crude resource country.
And one of the country members who expired oil (OPEC)
Kuwait has a crude oil reserves up to 101,500 million barrels. This amount is estimated to be 6 % of the world's crude oil reserves.
If crude oil prices are around $ 40 per barrel, Kuwait's crude oil reserves will be worth 128 million baht.
When things are like this, it means
Oil resources are highly important to Kuwait economy.
Year 2019 Kuwait's crude export revenue is worth 1.5 trillion baht.
In which such value is considered.
90 % of Kuwait's total export income
90 % of Kuwait government income
And 35 % of GDP, Kuwait
In 2016
Anas Al-Saleh, Kuwait's finance minister in those days, warns the government to lower the country's expenditure budget to be prepared for a moment when petrol prices will fall in the future.
But his warning is right. Many people laugh at me.
Because most people believe that the country will continue to earn massive oil exports income.
After that, come on
During the 2016-2018 s, crude oil prices continue to adapt.
It's something that makes many people confident that Anas Al-Saleh warnings won't happen.
But then the emergence of the trade war between US and China in 2019 begins to pressure the global oil demand to slow down.
And the incident started worse than that
When the world later, the COVID-19 outbreak begins.
Plague plague making global travel and production drops.
The global oil demand is reduced from the same.
Besides, there's a fuel war between Saudi Arabia and Russia that both of them won't reduce their production capacity. The oil prices are increasingly adapting.
2018 Dubai crude oil prices average $ 70 per barrel
2019 Dubai crude oil prices average $ 64 per barrel
While the first 6 months of 2020, the average Dubai crude price is only $ 41 per barrel.
What happens is income from crude oil exports
90 % of Kuwaiti government income is greatly reduced.
Make the government not enough money to pay for public sector employers.
At present, more than 80 % of Kuwait people, or around 3.5 million people work as government employees.
Make government spend money in country's reserve funds during the 3 months after COVID-19 outbreak. The fund has gone down to over 411,000 million baht.
Which if crude oil prices don't rise from the same.
It will only make Kuwait government pay for public sector employees until November this year.
Enough is like this next year, Kuwait government needs to make a budget deficit.
Which will cause budget deficit to the level of 1.4 trillion baht
Thinking about a deficit, increasing almost 3 times more than the 2019-2020 fiscal year.
And the budget deficit is the 7th year in a row since 2014
What's worrisome is if the government needs to borrow money.
Among lower oil prices, Kuwait may earn enough oil export income to pay back the loan.
Make it now Kuwait has to have a concept of country reform.
Under Vision 2035 slogan: New Kuwait
The point is that it's important to try to reduce oil industry revenue reliance on revenue.
Which is to follow how much Kuwait's long-term plan this time will accomplish.
From this story preview of Kuwait country
It's something to remind us whether it's a country, corporation or individual.
Being too dependent on income in any way is a high risk.
Like this case, Kuwait relies on income from crude oil exports up to 90 % of export income.
If one day the main income drops or disappears.
From a long time ago, I might lose money easily too..
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References
-https://www.pionline.com/economy/oil-rich-kuwait-running-out-cash
-https://oilprice.com/Energy/Energy-General/Kuwait-Is-Running-Out-Of-Money-To-Pay-Public-Salaries.html
-https://www.middleeastmonitor.com/20200820-kuwait-will-not-be-able-to-pay-salaries-after-november/
-https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_countries_and_dependencies_by_area
-https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Kuwait
-https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_countries_by_proven_oil_reserves
-https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_countries_by_GDP_(nominal)
-http://www.worldstopexports.com/kuwaits-top-10-exports/
-https://fanack.com/kuwait/economy/
-https://www.eia.gov/dnav/pet/hist/LeafHandler.ashx?n=PET&s=RBRTE&f=M
- Form 56-1 Year 2562, Thai Oil Public Company Limited
-https://www.set.or.th/dat/news/202008/20088082.pdfTranslated
new year slogan 在 艾咪拍拍 AmyPaiPai Youtube 的最佳解答
BL【2019跨年特輯_告白篇】
交往那麼久,男友竟說不娶!難道當不成戀人...只能做家人了嗎?
今年跨年,讓我們跨越一切障礙,在一起!👬
This new year, confess your love to the one you love!
no matter what other people said.
#BL #跨年 #同婚 #求婚 #marry #結婚 #男友 #撩 #HappyNewYear
#你知不知道我想做的不只是朋友 #性別歧視 #艾咪拍拍
#一定要看到最後因為片尾有彩蛋🎆
#金句達人浩然說本集Slogan應改為今年不跨年改跨你❓❕
#粉絲腦補說這是上集亞倫警察抓住闖紅燈浩然回家關了半年然後譜出這段戀曲
👉上一集看這:https://reurl.cc/rljy0O
-
►訂閱我們頻道:https://reurl.cc/721oyd ,請記得開啟YouTube🔔通知!
►邀請大家一起幫影片上字幕🌍Please help translate the subtitles of various countries👇
http://www.youtube.com/timedtext_video?v=II9oIQsp9h4&ref=share
►Viet sub 🇻🇳 by Đình Nam (庭南)
►BL【年曆本】、【紅包】、【見面會】相關資訊,請洽官方Line@小編。
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其他連結:
■FACEBOOK:https://www.facebook.com/paipaiyoulove
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■LINE@:https://line.me/R/ti/p/%40jfl9614d
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製作|#艾咪拍拍 (IG:paipaiyoulove) ____production
編導|#艾咪Amy (IG:i_am_amylai) _____director
演員|#浩然 (IG:fujiheart) _________actor
演員|#宋亞倫alan (IG:alan_song_) _____actor
協拍|#瑋哥的故事 (IG:wego666) _______assistant
攝影|#YC小劇場 (IG:woofy666666) ___cameraman
翻譯|#蕭郁軒 (IG:jacob_hsiao) _____translator
_____________
🎬更多【BL劇場】other BL drama series👇
■聖誕篇【Christmas-Sobriety test】
http://yt1.piee.pw/HYHTH (Eng. sub🇺🇸)
■聖誕篇【Christmas-the red light】
https://reurl.cc/rljy0O (Eng. sub🇺🇸)
■父親篇【Father's Day】
http://yt1.piee.pw/G4KUC
■母親篇【Mother's Day】
http://yt1.piee.pw/HCSSC
■鬼月篇【Ghost Festival】
http://yt1.piee.pw/HBA4L
■端午篇【Dragon Boat Festival】
http://yt1.piee.pw/HDVT4
■粵語篇【My Drunk Colleague】
https://reurl.cc/e5KMm7
■漫威篇【Marvel Special Series_Spoiler】
http://yt1.piee.pw/EJ5RS
■漫威篇【Marvel Special Series_Alien】
http://yt1.piee.pw/NP8YP
■世足篇【World Football Special Series_Funny】
http://yt1.piee.pw/G6FZ4
■世足篇【World Football Special Series_Romantic】
http://yt1.piee.pw/HJQDN
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