In vacation mode. A busy week for earnings, but I hope it will be a week for me to relax.
🌻CPI
"There are four main trends underlying the June inflation report. First are the items where prices fell sharply at the start of the pandemic and that are now returning to their pre-pandemic levels. Second are items where prices have temporarily risen above their pre-pandemic levels due to supply constraints and could come down. Third are items where prices are likely settling at a permanently higher level. And fourth are items where price increases have slowed rather than accelerated as a result of the pandemic, at least for now."
"Increases in owners’ equivalent rents—the Labor Department’s estimate of what homeowners would have to pay each month if they were renting their own home—also haven’t rebounded very far."
"Those prices could pick up in the months ahead, Ms. Bostjancic said, in part due to rapid increases in home prices. It takes about 18 months for a rise in real-estate prices to translate into stronger owners’ equivalent rents, she said.
“That’s one of those categories that needs to catch up following the worst of the pandemic,” she said.
That could add to inflation pressures in the coming months. Shelter costs represent almost a third of the basket of goods and services that the department looks at to calculate overall inflation."
Source: https://www.wsj.com/articles/inflation-hits-some-prices-more-than-others-11626187838
🌻附上本周發表財報公司一覽表.
上週的類股表現, 並不是很好(連大型股都在跌). 看看這周的財報結果會不會有幫助.
🌻針對餐飲業做了些研究. 筆記可在下兩個地方找到.
https://docs.google.com/document/d/1fhdoW1ah60klvwZGvejQ84WNz_EKgMAL_GZURDXsCo4/edit?usp=sharing
https://docs.google.com/document/d/1KOheA9qkAFoC0swFaNZVmnDtwK_hEbXou32FSA4Lqfo/edit?usp=sharing
目前餐飲業的窘境: 餐飲業在各產業中, 薪資較低. 疫情後, 因有人怕被病毒傳染(因為餐飲業是與人高度接觸的行業之一), 或是轉往薪資較高的產業, 或是想找到生活上的平衡(因為餐飲業時間特殊), 或因為家中有幼孩需要照顧, 所以餐飲業人力資源在疫情後反彈的情況, 不若其他產業. 解法? Technology.
Pictures:
1. A Companion of Diana (1724) by Jean-Louise Lemonyne. National Art Gallery (in Washington D.C.)珍藏.
https://www.nga.gov/collection/art-object-page.1272.html
狄阿娜(拉丁語:Diana),羅馬神話中的月亮女神和狩獵女神,眾神之王朱庇特和溫柔的暗夜女神拉托娜的女兒,太陽神阿波羅的孿生姐妹。
https://zh.wikipedia.org/zh-hant/%E7%8B%84%E9%98%BF%E5%A8%9C
2. 點外帶的時候, 看到這張速食店缺工造成不便的告示, 意思就是, 因為缺工, 加上食物都是現做, 難免比之前更慢了. 請不要因此而發脾氣. 很辛苦的餐飲人員.
3. From earningswhispers.com
同時也有1部Youtube影片,追蹤數超過31萬的網紅Spark Liang 张开亮,也在其Youtube影片中提到,你真的那麼有錢嗎? 你確定你的錢能在明天 買到你今天看上的東西? 你有能力抵抗通貨膨脹嗎? 你的投資真的能幫你賺錢嗎? 通貨膨脹不斷地影響你的投資收益率, 你看到的投資收益率只不過是名義利率罷了 如果你不知道你投資的實際利率 你將永遠無法了解自己的資產到底有多少。 今天,進聰將教你們如何計算 自己...
「inflation意思」的推薦目錄:
inflation意思 在 貓的成長美股異想世界 Facebook 的精選貼文
🌻另一個Zoom會議(第二次貼......有補上一些內容)
繼上次的年報導讀會議後, 讓我們再做另一個會議! 這次很榮幸邀請到一位對估值很有見解的股友前輩來帶大家了解估值(恩, 這次我會是主持人, 不是主講人).
主題: 估值(valuation)分享會(Cat: 這不算基礎的估值會議)
主講人: 小揚(from安泰價值投資)
https://www.facebook.com/antaiinvestment (此為小揚的粉絲頁)
參與者: 具基本估值能力. 若打算參加者, 請事先跟我(請私訊)提出一個關於估值的case study, 到時候可在會議中分享(最好是以投影片形式呈現, 這樣到時候好跟大家分享). 若有估值的問題, 也可以提出.
Case study可以是美股, 也可以是台股.
時間: 台灣時間07/10 (周六)晚間9點.
預計一個小時(不會像上次那樣冗長了😅): 前30分鐘由小揚做分享, 後30分鐘大家分享估值案例&提問
進行方式: 以Zoom進行(之後會私訊會議資訊給參與者)
🌻Morgan Stanley Mid-year Investor Outlook: A tricky transition
https://www.morganstanley.com/ideas/midyear-2021-global-markets-outlook
🌻在您投資生涯中, 有沒有一些觀念讓您受用很多?
下面這位投資名人的好觀念影響我很深. 他的意思是, 一般投資人, 只要能説出三個買一家公司的理由, 就很夠了. 這也迫使我, 每次在買股票時, 問自己對這家公司的了解有多少. 也會去衡量公司的優點與缺點在哪裡.
"It is vital (重要的) that you know what you own, that if I asked you on the street why you like a certain stock, you can give me three reasons. If you don't know how they make their money, who their key clients are and what they make if, then I will tell you that you are over your head and should not own individual stocks."
全文在此:
Jim Cramer: In Times Like This, Go for the Easy Money
Look at the stocks you own. Can you tell me why you've got them? If you can't answer the following three questions, then have a look at several I like right now.
We've endured the meme stock craziness, with all of its love for heavily shorted stocks. We have watched the collapse of bitcoin to levels viewed as shocking, even if they are still more than double where they were not that long ago. We've dealt with Fed officials making it clear that they are no longer on the side of the bulls or the bears. They are on the side of job growth, but are wary of inflation. We've seen the end of the rush to get vaccines, which means that millions of people are going to get the new COVID variant, because there is no natural immunity to it. We've watched as the hopes for an infrastructure bill have collapsed. We've endured shortages of everything from chips to plastic to imported goods and labor.
And we're still standing, yeah, yeah, yeah.
Yep, we are in one of those halcyon moments, where the masks are off -- even if they shouldn't be -- and Americans are back doing what they do best: consume, spend, go out to eat and then consume and spend some more.
There are times in the stock market where the collective mindset is revealed. This is one of those times: Things are cool, it's not a big moment, there's no real news for a bit, it's the historically strong period and we can reach some conclusions about where we are.
When things are like this, it is important to remember that buyers like to revert to tried-and-true companies that thrive no matter what. These are companies that have an edge and are better at what they do than other companies.
You know that I am a great believer in index funds, that the average person doesn't have the time or the inclination to research individual stocks. It's a difficult barrier. I think you need to make time to read the quarterly report and listen to the conference call, to Google articles and, if possible, get some research about the companies you own. It is vital that you know what you own, that if I asked you on the street why you like a certain stock, you can give me three reasons. If you don't know how they make their money, who their key clients are and what they make if, then I will tell you that you are over your head and should not own individual stocks. I am reminded by this, because, once again, without a mask, I can be recognized and if I am not holding "Nvidia the Second," I can carry on a conversation.
I have had many in the last two weeks and when I have asked this litany of questions, I find myself at a loss as to why almost no one knew what they owned. But they thirsted for individual stocks, because they, like me, think things are better post pandemic. No, that's not a facetious comment. Many, many stocks did better with a stay-at-home economy. A huge number.
So what do I do? I revert to what others do when you are stumped about how to stay in touch with stocks, but want to do less homework. That means buying stocks that are accessible, not stocks like Unity (U) or Snowflake (SNOW) or Twilio (TWLO) or Okta (OKTA) .
I revert to normal businesses people know and I suggest they Google some articles, peruse the conference call, but, above all, like the company's products so you can buy more if it goes down.
Here's some that I have been telling people I like:
First is Ford (F) . I think the Ford lineup is amazing. The electric F-150 series will be incredible. I am eager to get a Maverick for my family, because it is a smaller pickup that will get the job done for the myriad little things I need to do with this farm I bought from that crazy bitcoin foray. I like the competitive edge of the CEO, who says he is going to bury Elon Musk when the Lightning comes out. I even think the Bronco is cool as all get out. Most important, though? I think the chip shortage is ending. My semiconductor friends are telling me the foundries are producing more feature-rich chips and that means Ford can pump out the trucks small business people love and need. Plus, the used car prices at last have plateaued, according to their most important pricing index. Halcyon times.
Second, Costco (COST) : The samples are coming back. Tell me you don't love the samples. You need things in bulk. You want low prices. You want to get all of the things that people don't think of with Costco, like insurance, hearing-aids -- hey, they are a fortune -- jewelry, things around the house. You go and you will buy far more than you first came for. My kind of store.
The kids love this American Eagle Outfitters (AEO) , which we just bought for my charitable trust, which you can follow along by joining the Action Alerts PLUS club. Jay Schottenstein, the CEO, came on "Mad Money" recently and it's clear that his Aerie model has real staying power: 26 consecutive quarters of double digit growth. No flash in the pan, that one. Number one brand in jeans for the 15 to 25 year old group. The best in the mall. How did I know this? I see the credit card bills.
I got up this morning to do my physical therapy. I have been doing it ever since I hurt my back in February. I have this really cool pair of sneakers that fit me perfectly and I love them, but I am fortunate enough to have a vacation house and I am always taking those shoes with me.
So I went on Amazon (AMZN) this morning and lo and behold I saw them for half price. I bought two pairs. Then I went over everything I have bought in the last year and got a bunch of those things. Then I bought a pair of binoculars, because mine were stolen. I paid half price.
Yep, Amazon's universal. I was talking to Alexa, while I was ordering, getting some new music on, asking questions. I saw that despite all of the Sturm und Drang of Amazon being late with things, all the delivery dates were within range. I didn't click on any ads, and I didn't need the speed of Web Services, but the whole thing reminded me about how special the darned company is. I don't care if it's ahead or behind plan for the moment. I would just buy some more when it goes down.
Finally, Apple (AAPL) . I think people who don't own Apple should look what they are holding at this very moment. Yes, right now. Or look at what's in your lap or on the table besides your fork. And then think about the bill you paid last night without knowing it. Think about what you bought in the App store yesterday. Think about what would happen if it would break or get stolen or, left in the Uber (UBER) , or heaven forbid, be dropped into the pool or in the, yes, toilet.
There, that's what you buy in halcyon times. Stocks of companies you know that if they go lower, because things get less halcyon, you are fine with it and buy more. If things go up, believe me, you will participate.
So accept the moment. Don't try for the hard money. Go for the easy kind. That's the best kind.
https://realmoney.thestreet.com/jim-cramer/jim-cramer--15692051
Picture: 牡丹(peony)花開. 恨不得院子裡有一塊地是牡丹園.
inflation意思 在 Facebook 的最讚貼文
【吉娜單字教室】更新單字【unprecedented 史無前例的】,這個單字雖然很長,但不難。precedent 是[先例;判例],un在字首是"否定"的意思,字尾加上"ed"變成形容詞,所以這個單字的形成un-precedent-ed (unprecedented)。快速發音時要注意,最後的[t]不發音,尾巴的地方發音[ntɪd],最後的[d]音沒有發出聲音,只有頂住齒齦稍微停頓。
unprecedented
音節:un-pre-ce-dent-ed
KK[ʌnˋprɛsə͵dɛntɪd]
adj. 史無前例的;空前的
1. Coronavirus is an unprecedented world event. We've never experienced something like it in our lifetimes.
新冠病毒是史無前例的世界性事件。我們這一生從來沒有經歷過像這樣的事情。
2. There's been an unprecendented rise in inflation. Prices have skyrocketed.
最近通貨膨脹是史無前例的。價格不斷飆漲。
3. Attendance at the concert reached an unprecendented 20,000 people. The band is really popular!
到場參加演唱會的人到達空前的兩萬人。這個樂團真的非常受歡迎。
inflation意思 在 Spark Liang 张开亮 Youtube 的最讚貼文
你真的那麼有錢嗎?
你確定你的錢能在明天
買到你今天看上的東西?
你有能力抵抗通貨膨脹嗎?
你的投資真的能幫你賺錢嗎?
通貨膨脹不斷地影響你的投資收益率,
你看到的投資收益率只不過是名義利率罷了
如果你不知道你投資的實際利率
你將永遠無法了解自己的資產到底有多少。
今天,進聰將教你們如何計算
自己真正投資回報率,
他將把完整的計算法與公式分享給大家。
.
獲取我的獨家理財貼士
http://bit.ly/get-spark-financial-tips
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【免費】股票投資工作坊 - 從0開始學股票
http://bit.ly/join-free-webinar-now
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🔥點擊連結瞭解更多詳情或購買🔥
https://valueinmind.co/zh/sparks/
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【🔎更多相关影片】
✔️保险价格潜规则
https://youtu.be/huTb8sdfoqc
✔️什么是GDP(国内生产总值)?
https://youtu.be/cT41yXqQutw
✔️差班生大老板,优等生打工族
https://youtu.be/ObobpHzhNJo
【🙋♂关注我们,以获取更多理财知识💰】
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#投資收益率 #通貨膨脹 #費雪方程式
inflation意思 在 DSE ECON WILL Leung 經濟科補習 - Facebook 的推薦與評價
究竟咩叫做Unexpected inflation? 意思指Expected inflation rate 細過Actual inflation rate。如果喲人預期通脹率係3%,點知實際通脹率最後係5%, ... ... <看更多>
inflation意思 在 什么是通货膨胀?What is inflation?【柴知道ChaiKnows ... 的推薦與評價
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